Rossi on pole at Assen, A.Esp in second, Marquez in third. Dani fourth.
I see the race going down like this. Espargaro is swamped at the start and sent back to later than sixth place, possible behind Crutchlow and Lorennzo who both start on the third row.
That leaves Rossi, Pedrosa, and Marquez for the first turn. Dani is the best starter of the three, but also a row behind them. Marquez will probably be into turn one first and attempt to break away. Dani may very well get past Rossi on the first lap.
Lorenzo will be pushiing hard at the start to get to the leaders and prevent one of them from breaking away. Unlike last year, I don't think either Honda has the pace to oull out several seconds, so most likely it will be Marquez, Pedrosa, Rossi close together for the first half of the race.
When Lorenzo catches up to them is when it might get interesting. Rossi doesn't have to take big risks to beat Marquez or Dani as they are so far behind in points, BUT he does have to try and stay ahead of Lorenzo to protect his points lead. Lorenzo (from fourth) may be what forces Rossi to push on and try to get into the lead earlier than he normally would like
1985 Honda VF1000R, 1990 Ducati 851, 2008 YZ450F