[DanST4]

WILL 2007 BE WARMER THAN 2006?

At the beginning of the last year, Jim Hansen said the same about 2006; he was wrong, 2006 was the coldest year in the last five years. If you analyze the note from the newspapers you will find that the prognosis also was endorsed by this Democrat personage, Jim Hansen. But this is not the significant issue. Simply, we cannot predict systematically that 2007 will be a year hotter than 2006.

We can advance that 2007 COULD BE a warmer year than 2006 by the influence of El Niño because, according to our observations, the years with El Niño have been warmer than the years without the natural El Niño Oceanic Oscillation (ENSO). In the news it is also mentioned that everything obeys to the “Global Warming caused by the Greenhouse Gases produced by human activities”; nevertheless, that is tendentious and false information given that the phenomenon El Niño does not have any association with the “Global Warming”, nor with the “Climate Change”.

Perhaps you have already noticed that NASA prognosticated a more powerful solar period than the previous periods observed of Solar Activity (read the note here: http://science.nasa.gov). This makes the history or “prediction” of Jim Hansen and his associates to be a truculent and untrustworthy note because people know that the Sun is the source of energy for the whole Solar System.

Judith Lean made a reconstruction of the Intensity of the Solar Radiation for NOAA and she found that for the last 400 years the Intensity has been increasing considerably (0.202%). The change found by Judith Lean was 3.27 W*square meter. From the experimental data, the terrestrial tropospheric temperature increases 0.175 C by each W*square meter emitted by the Sun or coming from the Interstellar Medium, which would totalize a change of 0.61 C, a change that coincides with the change experienced by the atmospheric temperature (0.62 C) in the last 400 years.

Live unafraid. We think that we must stop the pollution, the deforestation, etc.; but we must not to say lies nor distort science for terrifying the people.